Odds Of Winning Blackjack Counting Cards

The most popular blackjack game nowadays is played with 8 decks of cards. Though it may seem impossible to count cards here, below you can see that the chances are still high that you will improve your odds and the graphics shows you the frequencies the count will occur.

The odds vary depending on the game rules and the number of decks, but the odds of a dealer busting in blackjack are about 30%. What is the house edge in blackjack? The house edge in blackjack is the percent of the player’s initial bet that the casino should expect to win in the long-term. The odds of winning on the next spin would become 36 to 1. And if you kept blacking out spaces, you’d eventually have much better odds of winning that single number bet. In fact, eventually, when the odds of winning got to be 34 to 1, you’d have a positive expectation bet against the casino. The single number bet pays off at 35 to 1.

Blackjack

Hello, according to what i understand so far the house edge will erode your bank roll in blackjack, meaning a.5% edge for the cassino means if one plays long enough ignoring short term results they would lose 50 cents for every 100$, so if one gains + 2, 3% advantage through card counting (betting high during high true counts ) all other variables being the same will they earn 3$ per. Counting Cards and Multiple Decks It should be clear by now how easy it would be to gain an advantage with single-deck blackjack. A running count of just +2 would mean a significant increase in your odds of winning. This is exactly why casinos have started using multiple decks a long time ago.

% of times occurred in the games

Count

Though the chances of having a very high or very low count are extremely low, you can still use the count to your advantage. Have a look at the table below to see the advantages.

Count%Prob. this or more
-490,00000003%100,00000000%
-480,00000006%99,99999997%
-470,00000021%99,99999991%
-460,00000027%99,99999970%
-450,00000033%99,99999943%
-440,00000021%99,99999910%
-430,00000021%99,99999889%
-420,00000042%99,99999868%
-410,00000057%99,99999826%
-400,00000129%99,99999769%
-390,00000267%99,99999640%
-380,00000577%99,99999372%
-370,00001192%99,99998796%
-360,00002135%99,99997603%
-350,00003997%99,99995468%
-340,00006874%99,99991471%
-330,00012276%99,99984597%
-320,00020336%99,99972321%
-310,00034258%99,99951985%
-300,00056772%99,99917727%
-290,00094862%99,99860955%
-280,00148646%99,99766093%
-270,00242661%99,99617447%
-260,00378132%99,99374787%
-250,00570811%99,98996654%
-240,00861279%99,98425844%
-230,01276072%99,97564564%
-220,01881787%99,96288492%
-210,02687454%99,94406705%
-200,03836799%99,91719252%
-190,05366363%99,87882453%
-180,07276165%99,82516090%
-170,10027183%99,75239925%
-160,13420432%99,65212741%
-150,17767643%99,5179%
-140,23517096%99,3402%
-130,30721438%99,1051%
-120,39385820%98,7979%
-110,49583814%98,4040%
-100,65706943%97,9%
-90,81199775%97,3%
-81,03675913%96,4%
-71,37508469%95,4%
-61,80959369%94,0%
-52,44941697%92,2%
-43,44408967%89,8%
-35,10863060%86,3%
-28,06068240%81,2%
-113,84397685%73,2%
018,70279601%59,3%
113,82825814%40,6%
28,04279303%26,8%
35,09367991%18,7%
43,43603877%13,6%
52,44108946%10,2%
61,80182387%7,8%
71,36877544%6,0%
81,03208321%4,6%
90,80882601%3,6%
100,65469463%2,8%
110,49454697%2,1000%
120,39331168%1,6055%
130,30716922%1,2121%
140,23571526%0,9050%
150,17839949%0,6693%
160,13512375%0,49086273%
170,10143784%0,35573898%
180,07382084%0,25430114%
190,05474817%0,18048030%
200,03928402%0,12573213%
210,02759649%0,08644811%
220,01944327%0,05885162%
230,01332745%0,03940835%
240,00906333%0,02608090%
250,00602366%0,01701757%
260,00406264%0,01099390%
270,00264117%0,00693126%
280,00163309%0,00429009%
290,00105093%0,00265700%
300,00063724%0,00160606%
310,00039910%0,00096883%
320,00024387%0,00056973%
330,00014429%0,00032585%
340,00008012%0,00018156%
350,00004381%0,00010144%
360,00002438%0,00005763%
370,00001429%0,00003324%
380,00000802%0,00001895%
390,00000435%0,00001093%
400,00000312%0,00000658%
410,00000189%0,00000345%
420,00000087%0,00000156%
430,00000045%0,00000069%
440,00000012%0,00000024%
450,00000009%0,00000012%
460,00000003%0,00000003%
Odds Of Winning Blackjack Counting Cards

TOP 3 US blackjack casinos

Blackjack is a very popular card game, widely played in the casinos. It is largely a fair game because blackjack offers the best odds of winning for gamblers when compared to other casino games like slots and roulette.

Blackjack has an element of skill to it. Players play against the dealer. Several people can play the game at one time and instead of trying to beat each other, they are actually trying to beat the dealer. The player, whose hand comes closest to 21, without exceeding the figure, wins the game.

House Edge in Blackjack

House Edge, in blackjack, is the statistical advantage the casino has over the player. In any round of a blackjack game, at the table, the dealer is representative of the house or casino. As he acts last in a hand, he is able to see the other players’ cards and identify the probable actions they will take or the potential mistakes they will commit. This way, he has an advantage over other players.

Blackjack, compared to other casino games, has a lower house edge, which is just 0.5%. The percentage is true for when players are using the basic blackjack strategy. For pro gamblers who are using and executing the more advanced blackjack strategies, the house edge can even go down to 0. Similarly, if the player is unable to implement a strategy or take the right decision at the right time, the house edge percentage can rise up to 2.

What Are the Odds of Winning at Blackjack?

Blackjack has one of the best odds of winning, among many other casino games. In any round of a game of blackjack, the probability of an overall win is about 42.22%. The chances of a loss and a tie are 49.10% and 8.48% respectively. That being said, the odds of winning a single round of blackjack are quite unpredictable.

The odds of winning blackjack, when played over time, improve in favor of the player because he is able to implement strategies, apart from the basic one. Also, the variety becomes less making forcing the odds to even out eventually. That is why; blackjack is not only an entertaining game but a rewarding one for the long-term too.

Odds Of Winning Blackjack Counting Cards Printable

Is Online Blackjack Rigged?

Blackjack probability chart

No, online blackjack is not rigged and is as fair as blackjack is in land-based casinos. However, the challenge is that different online casinos have different rules, which players need to be aware of before they start. Also, the odds of winning a game of blackjack in an online casino are much less. This is because, in the online version of the game, the cards are shuffled after each hand, eliminating the possibility of card counting.

There are some gambling sites that allow playing multi-deck games with a cut card. However, they also deal with about 50% of the cards before reshuffling. And even with a 50% cut, the edge with card counting is essentially very low.

Does Having a Solid Blackjack Strategy Increase My Winning Odds?

Odds Of Winning In Blackjack

Yes, a solid blackjack basic strategy does help in increasing the winning odds of the blackjack player. The basic strategy is a set of rules, laying down the optimal way of playing each hand dealt with the given information. The strategy brings into account the process of card counting. It is a mathematically correct way of playing every hand and reducing the house edge to less than 1%.

However, the way modern blackjack is played, especially in online casinos, increasing the odds of winning consistently is a rare possibility. There are multiple decks, sometimes, more than 6 in a single round of the game. Also, the decks are reshuffled after every round, making card counting even more difficult. Even with all this, playing with the basic blackjack strategy in mind is the best way to go forward in the game.

Do Blackjack Dealers Count Cards?

Blackjack dealers do not count cards mainly because there is precisely no need to do so. They just need to deal the cards knowing well that the house edge is in their favor. With the casino already holding a profitable edge at every table, it is unnecessary for the dealer to cheat for the house. Also, they are paid an hourly wage, which does not depend on how much profit the casino makes. And of course, no casino would institutionalize and reward such behavior of a dealer because that would be risky and foolish at the same time.

Apart from this, there are other reasons why it is highly unlikely for the dealers to count cards. For instance, the process would be extremely hard for them to execute. Keeping a count and deciding when and how to act will require a lot of concentration along with the ability to take almost rapid-fire decisions.

Blackjack Side Bets Are Unfair

Odds On Blackjack Chart

Blackjack side bets are additional bets placed during a standard round of the blackjack game. They involve the process of predicting which cards the players and at times, the dealer will receive. Blackjack side bets are mostly unfair because they significantly increase the house edge, unlike the main game.

The house edge gets larger because the returns do not reflect the odds of each of the bets coming in. Side betting does not involve any skill and is rather, simple luck of the draw. That is why; they are good for adding complexity to the game but should not be the main focus of any player’s gameplay as such.

The three most common types of side bets are Insurance, 21+3, and Perfect Pairs. 21+3 is when the player plays a poker hand with two cards and the dealer’s one up-card. This bet alone increases the casino’s advantage by at least 3%. Some of the other side bet games give casinos, odds advantage of up to 15% too.

Blackjack Odds Table

As a whole, blackjack is interesting and by far, a fair casino game that can reward players, only if they acquire a thorough understanding of the strategies and implement them at the right time.